44 Blockchain
Table 1.2 Potential benefits and challenges
CBDC benefits
CBDC challenges
Additional insights
CDBC could lower costs associated
with providing and managing cash.
Banking-sector disintermediation: There can be a risk of
people withdrawing their deposits from commercial banks if
they decide to hold CBDC in significant volumes. This would
force banks to raise more expensive and runnable wholesale
funding or somehow retain customers by raising the interest
rate on their deposits. This would effectively compress banks’
margins and they would try to raise money by charging
higher interest rates on loans and mortgages.
I think governments would take a mixed
approach initially by offering options
to customers to adopt CBDC and
maintain existing channels like retail
bank accounts, credit cards and cash.
Financial inclusion. CDBC has the
potential to provide safe and
government-backed means of payment
to the public even those who do not
have a bank account.
‘Run risk’: In the time of pandemic or economic crisis, bank
customers can flee from deposits to CBDC as CBDC is
viewed as safer and more liquid. CBDC is also backed by the
government to provide further security.
It would be beneficial for the public that
does not and could not have a bank
account due to various reasons. I think
the government should support
unbanked and people with low credits
to have an option to get included in
the financial systems and improve
financial inclusion.
Stability of the payment system: CDBC
can enhance the resiliency of the
payment system and also reduce the
concentration of the payment systems
in the hands of very large companies.
Central bank balance sheet and credit allocation: In the case
of the high adoption of CBDC, the central bank balance
sheet could grow substantially. Central banks may need to
provide liquidity to banks that have experienced large
funding outflow. Due to these factors, central banks would
take credit risks and decide on the allocation of funds across
banks. This could lead to open doors for political
interference.
CBDC can enhance financial system
resiliency. Governments need to have
tight governance and protection, so
there is no favouritism and political
interference in the credit allocation.
Market contestability and discipline:
CDBC can potentially improve
competition for large payment
companies and cap the commission
they can charge.
International implications: CBDC could lead to currency
substitution (‘dolarisation’) in countries with high inflation
and volatile exchange rates.
CBDC could further improve
competition in the financial markets
and let the market derive the
commission rates.
(Continued)